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بهترین سایت شرط بندی ایرانی
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Global Statistics

All countries
695,781,740
Confirmed
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:04 pm
All countries
627,110,498
Recovered
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:04 pm
All countries
6,919,573
Deaths
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:04 pm

Global Statistics

All countries
695,781,740
Confirmed
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:04 pm
All countries
627,110,498
Recovered
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:04 pm
All countries
6,919,573
Deaths
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:04 pm

Coronavirus pandemic could last 2 years, 70 percent of world population needs immunity: researchers

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PICS | Truck driver killed in Pinetown after truck ploughs into several cars

A vehicle that was hit in the accident. A truck driver was killed in a horrific sequence of events following an initial crash in Pinetown. While trying to move the truck after the accident, it appeared to lose control. He died after falling out of the truck which ploughed into several cars and a wall.A truck driver…

42 people in court for R56m police vehicle branding scam

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The coronavirus pandemic has drastically altered the planet since first appearing in late 2019, infecting more than 3 million and resulting in the deaths of at least 230,000 people. As some parts of the world ease stay-at-home and lockdown orders, a new report says the pandemic could last up to two years.

The report, put together by the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, notes the similarities between COVID-19 and influenza pandemics, including both having asymptomatic cases and the global population having “little to no pre-existing immunity,” which results in “worldwide susceptibility.”

Though there are differences between SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, the researchers gleaned from past pandemics that the length “will likely be 18 to 24 months, as herd immunity gradually develops in the human population.”

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“This will take time, since limited serosurveillance data available to date suggest that a relatively small fraction of the population has been infected and infection rates likely vary substantially by geographic area,” the researchers added. “Given the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2, 60 [percent] to 70 [percent] of the population may need to be immune to reach a critical threshold of herd immunity to halt the pandemic.”

The researchers also warned that control measures and other factors could impact the length and duration of different waves of COVID-19 cases.

Three different scenarios were laid out by the researchers:

  • The first wave of cases is “followed by a series of repetitive smaller waves that occur through the summer and then consistently over a 1- to 2-year period, gradually diminishing sometime in 2021.” The researchers noted this could vary based on geographies and mitigation measures put in place by public health officials and lawmakers. 
  • The first wave is followed by a “larger wave in the fall or winter,” with one or more subsequent waves in 2021, similar to the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic that resulted in an estimated 500 million cases and 50 million deaths worldwide.
  • The first wave is followed by a “‘slow burn’ of ongoing transmission and case occurrence, but without a clear wave pattern,” also influenced by geographies and mitigation measures.

“Whichever scenario the pandemic follows (assuming at least some level of ongoing mitigation measures), we must be prepared for at least another 18 to 24 months of significant COVID-19 activity, with hot spots popping up periodically in diverse geographic areas,” the researchers concluded. “As the pandemic wanes, it is likely that SARS-CoV-2 will continue to circulate in the human population and will synchronize to a seasonal pattern with diminished severity over time, as with other less pathogenic coronaviruses, such as the betacoronaviruses OC43 and HKU1, past pandemic influenza viruses have done.”

IF YOU THINK YOU HAD CORONAVIRUS, NEW ANTIBODY TEST AVAILABLE WITHOUT TRIP TO DOCTOR’S OFFICE

The researchers laid out a number of recommendations for governments around the world to put in place to mitigate the potential future waves, including “planning for the worst-case scenario (Scenario 2);” developing strategies to ensure “adequate protection for healthcare workers” to deal with future surges. Governments need to develop plans for reinstituting mitigation measures, they said.

Lastly, messaging from government officials should include “the concept that this pandemic will not be over soon and that people need to be prepared for possible periodic resurgences of disease over the next 2 years,” the researchers added.

Currently, there is no known scientific cure for the disease known as COVID-19.

CLICK HERE FOR COMPLETE  CORONAVIRUS COVERAGE

As of Friday morning, more than 3.2 million coronavirus cases have been diagnosed worldwide, more than 1 million of which are in the U.S., the most impacted country on the planet.

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Hot Topics

City of Cape Town urges people to leave Kataza the baboon alone

Kataza the baboon. Facebook / Baboon Matters The City of Cape Town has asked the public not to feed a baboon that has relocated to Tokai. The baboon, known as Kataza or SK11, is slowly being integrated into the Tokai troop. Video footage, however, shows humans feeding Kataza. The City of Cape Town has requested that Kataza…

Rassie: There are various benefits for SA rugby to go north

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(John Finney Photography/Moment/Getty Images) An abnormally bad season of weather may have had a significant impact on the death toll from both World War I and the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, according to new research, with many more lives being lost due to torrential rain and plummeting temperatures. Through a detailed analysis of an ice…

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City of Cape Town urges people to leave Kataza the baboon alone

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A Once-in-a-Century Climate ‘Anomaly’ Might Have Made World War I Even Deadlier

(John Finney Photography/Moment/Getty Images) An abnormally bad season of weather may have had a significant impact on the death toll from both World War I and the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, according to new research, with many more lives being lost due to torrential rain and plummeting temperatures. Through a detailed analysis of an ice…